Establishing DSOso-specific scenarios for future electrical distribution grids
Abstract
The evolution of electrical distribution grids requires the Distribution System Operators to be ready for a more complex and flexible grid. This paper explores the use of scenario analysis as a useful tool that the operators can use to foresee and hedge against any upcoming challenges. However, available energy transition scenarios in literature predominantly focus on a large scale in their projections and hence may not be the best fit for this task. This paper proposes an approach to break down the projections of these scenarios to the level of a specific distribution grid, taking into account the current state of the system and its specificities. A study case with a distribution system operator and the electricity system in France is also presented. The work demonstrates how applying scenario analysis to an individual distribution system operator can be beneficial in exploring multiple possible futures and determining future challenges and requirements.
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