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Journal articles
A human-driven decline in global burned area
N. Andela
1, 2, *
C. Morton
1
L. Giglio
3
Y. Chen
2
G. van der Werf
4
S. Kasibhatla
5
S. Defries
6
G. Collatz
1
S. Hantson
7
S. Kloster
8
D. Bachelet
9
M. Forrest
10
G. Lasslop
8
F. Li
11
S. Mangeon
J. R. Melton
C. Yue
12
J. T. Randerson
2
*
Corresponding author
C. Yue 12
Author
J. T. Randerson 2
Author
1
GSFC - NASA Goddard Space Flight Center (Greenbelt, MD 20771 - United States)
2
ESS - Department of Earth System Science [Irvine] (3317 Croul Hall, University of California, Irvine, CA 92697-3100 - United States)
- UCI - University of California [Irvine] (Irvine, CA 92697 - United States)
- University of California (United States)
3
Department of Geographical Sciences (United States)
- University of Maryland [College Park] (College Park, MD 20742 - United States)
- University of Maryland System (United States)
4
FALW - Faculty of Earth and Life Sciences [Amsterdam] (De Boelelaan 1085, 1081 HV Amsterdam, The Netherlands - Netherlands)
- VU - Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam [Amsterdam] (De Boelelaan 1105 1081 HV Amsterdam - Netherlands)
5
Division of Marine Science and Conservation, Nicholas School of the Environment (United States)
- Duke University [Durham] (Durham, NC 27708 - United States)
6
Department of Ecology, Evolution and Environmental Biology (1200 Amsterdam Avenue, New York, New York 10027 - United States)
- Columbia University [New York] (Columbia University in the City of New York, 2960 Broadway, New York, NY 10027-6902 - United States)
7
IMK-IFU - Institut für Meteorologie und Klimaforschung - Atmosphärische Umweltforschung (Institute for Meteorology and Climate Research - Atmospheric Environmental Research, Kreuzeckbahnstraße 19, 82467 Garmisch-Partenkirchen, Germany - Germany)
- KIT - Karlsruher Institut für Technologie (P.O.box 3640, 76021 Karlsruhe - Germany)
8
MPI-M - Max-Planck-Institut für Meteorologie (20146 Hamburg - Germany)
- Max-Planck-Gesellschaft (Jägerstrasse, 10-11, D-10117 Berlin - Germany)
9
Department of Biological and Ecological Engineering (United States)
- OSU - Oregon State University (1500 SW Jefferson St. Corvallis, OR 97331 - United States)
10
Senckenberg Biodiversity & Climate Research Centre (Germany)
11
IAP - Institute of Atmospheric Physics [Beijing] (Beijing 100029 - China)
- CAS - Chinese Academy of Sciences [Beijing] (52 Sanlihe Rd., Beijing, 100864 - China)
12
LSCE - Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement [Gif-sur-Yvette] (Bât. 12,
avenue de la Terrasse,
F-91198 GIF-SUR-YVETTE CEDEX
- France)
- UVSQ - Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines : UMR8212 (55 avenue de Paris - 78035 Versailles cedex - France)
- CEA - Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives : DRF/LSCE (Centre de Saclay Centre de Grenoble Centre de Cadarache etc - France)
- INSU - CNRS - Institut national des sciences de l'Univers : UMR8212 (INSU-CNRS 3 rue Michel-Ange, 75794 Paris Cedex 16 - France)
- Université Paris-Saclay (Espace Technologique, Bat. Discovery - RD 128 - 2e ét., 91190 Saint-Aubin - France)
- CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique : UMR8212 (France)
Abstract : Fire is an essential Earth system process that alters ecosystem and atmospheric composition. Here we assessed long-term fire trends using multiple satellite data sets. We found that global burned area declined by 24.3 ± 8.8% over the past 18 years. The estimated decrease in burned area remained robust after adjusting for precipitation variability and was largest in savannas. Agricultural expansion and intensification were primary drivers of declining fire activity. Fewer and smaller fires reduced aerosol concentrations, modified vegetation structure, and increased the magnitude of the terrestrial carbon sink. Fire models were unable to reproduce the pattern and magnitude of observed declines, suggesting that they may overestimate fire emissions in future projections. Using economic and demographic variables, we developed a conceptual model for predicting fire in human-dominated landscapes.
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Journal articles
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https://hal-cea.archives-ouvertes.fr/cea-01588364
Contributor : Quentin Jaillard <>
Submitted on : Friday, September 15, 2017 - 3:15:46 PM
Last modification on : Friday, December 18, 2020 - 6:46:05 PM
Contributor : Quentin Jaillard <>
Submitted on : Friday, September 15, 2017 - 3:15:46 PM
Last modification on : Friday, December 18, 2020 - 6:46:05 PM
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- HAL Id : cea-01588364, version 1
- DOI : 10.1126/science.aal4108
Citation
N. Andela, C. Morton, L. Giglio, Y. Chen, G. van der Werf, et al.. A human-driven decline in global burned area. Science, American Association for the Advancement of Science, 2017, 356 (6345), pp.1356 - 1362. ⟨10.1126/science.aal4108⟩. ⟨cea-01588364⟩
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